by NOThinkingGuru
Part 2
Part 3
Part 4
When I began writing this four part series the first thing I wanted you to
understand is that the construction of a team, in the draft room, is the most important
part of playing fantasy football. If you mess up your draft, then you will
have to be pretty lucky in the season by picking up the right guys at the right
time on the waiver wire to be successful. Fantasy Football requires some luck but if it was all
luck then why are the top players in the world at the top every year. If you
want luck then go buy a lotto ticket.
Now for the destruction. I want
to destroy the theories out there on how you have to draft your team. Whether
its zero running back theory, valued based drafting, early RB heavy drafting,
stud QB strategy, TE strategy, and WR heavy strategy. If you go into a draft
with the plan to use a specific strategy then you have already lost. Before I
go into why, let me explain the difference between a NFL team and a fantasy
football team. Let’s start with the NFL.
The NFL has been around since
1920. Every coach, general manager, and everybody in the front office gets paid
a boat load of money for being great at building a team. If you don't excel in
the NFL at your specialized field then you will be replaced. Each of these
people have access to many tools to help them succeed. Now let’s talk about
your fantasy football team. How long have you been playing fantasy football?
Most people will say, just couple of years. People who play fantasy football
work alone on their team and if they have a partner helping them, then it is
still usually just one person doing most of the work. Plus you don't have the
resources that the NFL has. Yes, we have the Internet but there is so much
misinformation out there. Okay what I’m basically saying is that you’re screwed
if you had to do a fantasy football draft against an actual NFL owner. But
you’re not playing against an NFL owner. You are playing against somebody who
has the same issues as you. Or are you? I’m going to teach how to draft like a
NFL owner and how to use the same type information and strategies that they
use. I know some of you are thinking that some NFL owners are idiots and I
agree. So let’s just use a team with a proven track record and see how they
draft. The team I’m talking about is the Baltimore Ravens and the GM Ozzie
Newsome.
This guy is not only the GM for
the Ravens but also a Pro Football Hall of Fame inductee. Why this guy is
better than almost everybody else is because of the way he drafts. The Ravens
have not made a pick in the 1st rd between pick 1-9 since 1997. And unlike
fantasy football if get the 20th pick in the 1st rd that is your spot in every
round. Fantasy football is more forgiving. The person that picks last in the
1st rd gets the 1st pick in the 2nd rd. I bet that the Super Bowl Champs would
love that rule. So as a GM in the NFL drafting to reload your team is much
harder. Most people think that Ozzie uses best player available to make his
picks. But if he did that then why not use a computer to make the pick. Ozzie
does not create the team's draft board rankings. He had a team doing that. A
lot of fantasy owners out there are just like computers when they make their
picks. They have their cheat sheets and when it is their turn they just
selected the next guy on their sheet. This does not mean that this will not
work. It just means it requires more luck. I have never been lucky and don't
expect to win anything based on luck. I worked hard to get where I am at today.
I’m guessing the reason that you are reading this article is because you want
to outsmart your opponent. It is such a great feeling to play in a competition
and outsmart your opponent. After the Ravens create their rankings then they
adjust them based on need and scarcity. If there is a position that they really
need then they are more willing to target that guy in the 1st three rounds. If
they need a RB but there are lots of RB's they like and feel they can get one
of them in a later round then they will wait. If you look at this year’s NFL
draft the Tennessee Titans had the 2nd pick. The reason they had the second
pick was because as a team they had a lot of holes that needed filling. Yes, QB
was one of those holes and yes I do believe that Marcus Mariotta who they
selected with that pick will have a long career in the NFL as a starter. The
problem I have and I believe Ozzie Newsome would have done is traded that pick.
Reports came out that the Titans received many trade offers but none of the
offers was worth the #2 slot. I say BS. A NFL team has 53 man roster and I
would have taken the best offer. To build a whole team you can't just fill one
roster spot. With all the picks they would have received they could have built
a more complete team. But I have a feeling that the Titans will get a 2nd
chance next year to make the same decision.
When building a fantasy
football team you have to make the same kinds of decisions
Part 2
Part 3
Part 4
These are some great article series. I usually don't have a strategy when picking. I just watch sites like https://www.fantasysportsdaily.com/ and follow some pick suggestions. Overall i have been doing Ok.
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