Thursday, May 9, 2013

2013 NFL ROOKIE CLASS FOR DYNASTY FORMATS



BY “THE FANTASY TYPHOON”

LISTEN TO ROOKIE PODCAST HERE 


CAN’T MISS TOP TALENT!

2          34        Titans             Justin Hunter            WR     Tennessee                SEC

We have Justin Hunter at the top of our board based on talent and potential only. He has the shell of AJ Green. We don’t care where he lands he will produce for you in the allotted 3 year rookie dynasty window. You will not be disappointed. 


2          41        Bills                Robert Woods           WR     USC                           Pac-12

Crisp route runner with the ability to beat the jam at the line of scrimmage in college, now as a NFL rookie. Might not be the fastest but has sure hands and should shoulder a long prosperous NFL career as well. That’s we are looking for in dynasty formats right?


2          48        Steelers         LeVeon Bell              RB      Michigan State         Big Ten

We love the talent and situation that Leveon Bell has found himself in. He is a talented back that is now in a Traditional Pro-Style Offense and we expect to see some good numbers from him once he gets settled. He should be entrenched as the bell cow well within the 3 year rookie window. Could he be the new 1.1


1          21        Bengals         Tyler Eifert                 TE       Notre Dame               Ind.

We love this guy’s talent. Players like these top four guys will play in any system for a long time. That’s why these guys are slated at the top of their class. Even if they are traded they will still get the first nod to start until they retire. The rookie RB’s and QB’s in 2013 are shaky at best so beware. These guys above are full of talent and talent plays on Sunday.



TALENT MEETS SITUATION

2          58        Broncos         Montee Ball               RB      Wisconsin                 Big Ten

Montee Ball was one of my favorite running backs before the NFL rookie draft begun. Now that he lands in Denver is awesome for his value. Please be advised that as long as Manning is QB, HE MUST BE ABLE TO EXCEL AT PASS PROTECTION. They are not letting this guy hit the field unless they are 110% sure of his pass blocking skills to protect Manning. If he gets time on the field and misses a passing block you best be sure that he is immediately coming to the bench. Also, McGahee will not be released and Ball WILL NOT see any parts of the field again until this is proven in practice. Take that to the bank.


1          29        Vikings           Cordarrelle Patterson          WR     Tennessee    SEC

We love this guy’s film but the downside is that he is so raw. It may take more than the 3 year rookie window before this guy catches on fire. You could pass on him and back track and pick him up cheaply from a frustrated owner years later if he starts off slowly. Ponder is good enough to focus on one player/one read and get him heavily involved. While the box will be stacked against Peterson and double teams are dispatched to Jennings the middle of the field will be crying for attention. Insert Cordarrelle. Upside is through the roof but he is Steven Hill type raw.


2          37        Bengals         Giovani Bernard       RB      North Carolina          ACC
We here at Fantasy Football 1 on 1 have a different view on the Bernard/Bengals marriage. Marvin Lewis runs the Traditional West Coast Offense which is very conservative. Questions we ask ourselves, What was Bernard drafted for? Is he and every down back? Will he ever take BJGE's job? Bernard is being drafted as a 3rd down back and not a bell cow. We and the coaching staff view him as a life long scatback and never a bell cow in any system. Lewis loves his plodders as the RB1 it's been documented and confirmed over the years. You've been warned!

1          8          Rams             Tavon Austin             WR     West Virginia            Big 12
You guys do realize that you are spending your 1.1 on me, lol. I am smaller than Jahvid Best and Austin Collie and my job each and every week will be to go across the middle and complete suicide missions for a living. Let that sink in for a minute. 

5          160     Rams              Zac Stacy                  RB      Vanderbilt                  SEC
HONK, HONK, HONK. WAKE UP! You are asleep at the wheel. (Missed Zac)
 
2          59        Patriots           Aaron Dobson        WR     Marshall                   C-USA
WOW you are still sleeping. (Missed Dobson).
  
4          131     49ers              Marcus Lattimore     RB      South Carolina         SEC
You have finally woke up from your deep deep sleep and it's the year 2014. Now ask yourself what injury are they talking about with Lattimore?

2          35        Eagles            Zach Ertz                  TE       Stanford                     Pac-12
Ha Ha Chip Kelly I killed your college team championship hopes. You saw up close and personal what I can do with my skill set. Now use me to my strengths.

3          74        Cowboys       Terrance Williams    WR     Baylor                          Big 12
YEZZZZ ZIIIIRRRRR!!!! One good three or four week hammy from Miles and it's a wrap.

2          61        Packers          Eddie Lacy              RB      Alabama                  SEC
OUCH my big toe has been acting up.Jonathan back me up bro.

4          125     Packers         Johnathan Franklin   RB      UCLA                         Pac-12
Yeah I know I switched your shoes and gave you a pair 2 sizes too small. Now get out of my way and let me PUT IN THIS WORK you back up.
 
1          16        Bills                E.J. Manuel               QB      Florida State             ACC
OK EJ grab your helmet your are up! Kolb just got a concussion.  OK I'm ready coach, NOW WHAT AM I SUPPOSED TO DO IN THERE AGAIN.

I hope you understand and read between the lines what I am suggesting for your 2013 Rookie Drafts. Good Luck!




Please email me for the entire list. I will send it to you for free.  


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Email me at thefantasytyphoon@hotmail.com for fantasy football advice.

Monday, April 22, 2013

THE 2013 ALL 32 DRAFT KIT PREVIEW!




“THE 2013 HOUSTON TEXANS”

HEAD COACH – Gary Kubiack
 
OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR – Rick Denninson

THE HOUSTON TEXANS REAL LIFE AND FANTASY


The Houston Texans are powered by 3 main players and for them to advance to the next level it can’t be that way. We can’t call them the triplets like we do the 90’s Cowboys team because they lack the firepower at QB. The Texans are a Modified West Coast Offense with Zone Blocking Scheme. The Texans perfect game is one where the defense gets at least 2+ turnovers and the running game can bring in 200+ yards. This is Texans football. A great playoff philosophy maximized during the regular season. This means that this team is built to run first then throw later. Everything is designed to go through the running back. So the running back has to be the most talented player on the team. They proved this when they paid Arian Foster the big bucks instead of relying on Ben Tate to carry the load. This style of offense and lack of WR2 talent forces them to utilize the TE which automatically makes him a viable play in this scheme. This makes the TE the WR2 in this system as long as they are missing the talented WR2 who can consistently beat 1-on-1 coverage. Owens Daniels is a nice play at the TE position on Sunday fantasy rosters. I don’t understand why this position is not filled as of yet because there are so many free agents who can meet this goal with their eyes closed. I surely expect to see a high round pick spent on a WR in this year’s rookie draft. That should make them a little more competitive during the 2013 playoffs. Let’s break down the 2013 Texans roster and uncover the fantasy football nuggets.


The QB is Matt Schaub who will not be targeted for our 2013 championship rosters. The reason why is that Arian Foster, and an aging Andre Johnson and Owens Daniels are not enough weapons to make Schaub worthy to start during the season. At best he can be utilized as a bye week filler and a good option when they are facing a Modified Spread Offense. This will make the Texans coaching staff have to throw a lot more than usual to compete. While Schaub is not called to do more the reason why has yet to be seen. Until I see more consistency on film we will leave him in back up QB status. We fully project to see 4,000+/27+ from Schuab this year. The low TD total due to Foster’s goal line dominance makes us limit our projections going forward. This is tier 3-4 production and should be a backup until further notice. 


Arian Foster is the starting running back for the Houston Texans. Foster will see a ton of carries and they will ride him through the season. Ben Tate is the handcuff and is usually injured at that. We expect to see Ben produce 700+/4+ We fully expect Foster to be the workhorse in 2013 and is a top tier running back for your rosters. While he carries the Texans let him carry your fantasy team as well. It is not a mystery that we here at Fantasy Football 1 on 1 are on record on the ADP podcast suggesting our subscribers to draft RB+RB+RB (PODCAST HERE) in the first three rounds and get an edge on the competition. Starting with Foster in the first round is an excellent play and will reap rewards for you in any league settings. He is also match up proof so there is no need to get on twitter and ask should you start Foster over player X this week. If you own Foster then start’em. Foster’s forecast for 2013 is 1,400+/10+ & 350+/10+ which is easily top tier 1 production in any settings.


The WR to own in this system is Andre Johnson. He may very well be the only receiver once again in 2013. He will be the target monster at the WR position. While we love his fantasy worth, we will bypass him on draft day and secure a RB in his stead if he goes in the first three rounds. While Matt Shaub is needed to throw the occasional deep ball on the play action roll out which is designed for the WR2. The problem is that the Texans do not have a talented WR2 and we expect them to address this early in the 2013 draft. Andre Johnson is getting older and it’s time to have his successor on the roster. We already know that whoever is drafted and no matter how much talent they possess they will be a number 2 receiver behind Andre Johnson. This means targets will be limited until they can be trusted. This is good news for dynasty and bad news for redrafters. We will have to watch the rookie draft this weekend and come back reevaluate this situation. We fully expect to see Andre Johnson produce 1,250+/5+ which is round 2-3 production. If he falls to the fourth round quickly pick him up and laugh quietly to yourself. You are about to DOMINATE.


The TE is Owens Daniels who is like I said earlier the WR2 for the Texans. As long as that hole is open he is your man. He is an excellent TE who can consistently get open and also warrant a couple of red zone looks. We have better options for TE as outlined in our 2013 ALL 32 predraft kit (ORDER HERE) but if you miss out he is an excellent alternative. We look for a steady 700+/5+ TE production from Owens at seasons end. 


ROOKIE DRAFT WATCH AND TRAINING CAMP BATTLES

I Follow Beat Writer John McClain for All of my Texans Training Camp and Team News




As we stated earlier in the above break down we fully expect to see an early round WR addition for the Houston Texans. While that is good news for dynasty owners it’s not that great of news for redraft. The Texans like to see their WR’s prove themselves before supreme playing time and targets are warranted. The playbook is simple enough for a rookie to grasp and is not as diverse as the Schottenheimer's playbook used in St. Louis. (That’s the Brain Quick holdup) So keep your ears open to the beat writers  for more updates during the fantasy season.


                   FANTASY DRAFT WATCH 2013    

Matt Schuab - 4,000+/27+ - Not worth a starter but an excellent back up.

Arian Foster – 1,400+/10+ & 350+/3+ - ABSOLUTELY!

Ben Tate - Ben Tate - 700+/4+ - Definitely serviceable as Foster’s handcuff in the late rounds.

Andre Johnson - 1,250+/5+ - Too high let your league mates take him while you secure your backfield unless he falls to the fourth round.
Owens Daniels – 700+/5+ – Only if you miss the suggested TE’s suggested in the 2013 ALL 32 Draft Kit.
PK -  Not Yet Rated

DST – Worth a last round or next to last round pick up in all fantasy formats.  

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